San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8-19-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 19th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 70-55 this year and they have won four of their last six games. San Diego is coming off of a series loss against Colorado, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Padres swept the Pirates in three games, won two out of three against the Marlins, and won all three against the Pirates. San Diego is 11-3 in their last 14 games and they are second in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 595 runs with a .266 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .271 with 19 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Padres this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 70-54 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won three out of four. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Royals, split four games with the Guardians, and lost two out of three against the Cubs. Minnesota is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 605 runs with a .252 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .241 with 18 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Twins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 10-6 with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 135.1 innings pitched this year. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. Matthews allowed two earned runs and five hits over 5.0 innings of work against the Royals in his first start. 

Why the Padres will beat the Twins

• The Padres have won each of their last 10 night games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have lost 14 of their last 16 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Petco Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.
• David Peralta has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as home favorites.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Max Kepler has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Max Kepler has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1136).
• The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.266).
• The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (243).
• The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (317).

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

San Diego comes into this series after a rough series against Colorado over the weekend, but they are still one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last month. The Padres are 33-29 at home, while the Twins are 34-30 on the road. Minnesota has also played very well recently and they are just two games behind Cleveland in the AL Central. The Twins are starting Zebby Matthews, who pitched well in his first start, but this is a very tough lineup to face. The Padres are going with Michael King, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven outings. My San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for the Padres to win by at least two runs.