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San Diego Padres vs NY Yankees Prediction 5-24-24 Picks

NY Yankees (35-17) vs. San Diego Padres (27-26)
May 24, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres +105 / NY Yankees -125; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 24th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for the game one in the series. 

Padres are Building Momentum 

The San Diego Padres are 27-26 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of three games and scored 13 runs in games two and three. Prior to that series, the Padres won three out of four against Atlanta, were swept by the Rockies in three games, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. San Diego has won six of their last seven series and they are second in the NL West, 6.5 games behind the Dodgers. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 242 runs with a .259 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .246 with eight home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego is 12th in team ERA this season and they have allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Yankees Pulling Away in the AL East

The New York Yankees are 35-17 this year and they have won nine of their last eleven games. New York is coming off of a series split with the Mariners, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Yankees swept the White Sox in three games, swept the Twins in three games, and won two out of three against the Rays. New York has not lost a series in their last six, and they are leading the AL East by three games over Baltimore. 

The New York pitching staff has a 2.86 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .212 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 252 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .276 with 15 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York is third in runs scored this season and they have scored at least four runs in 10 of their last 11 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who is 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this year. Darvish has not allowed a run in four straight starts, which includes 19 innings against the Braves, Dodgers, and Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 5-2 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this season. Rodon has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow six earned runs and eight hits against Baltimore four starts ago. 

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following a home win.
The underdogs have won each of the Padres’ last three games at Petco Park.
The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a road win.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites following a home win.
The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Yankees’ last five night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Padres’ last four games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five road games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (467).
The San Diego Padres rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (469).
The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (75).
The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.86).

San Diego Padres vs NY Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup as one of the best teams in the MLB so far this season and they are 17-9 on the road. San Diego is just 10-16 at home this year, but they have been played much better over the last few weeks. The Padres are starting Yu Darvish, who has been elite over his last four outings. New York is going with Carlos Rodon, who has been sharp, but has allowed 14 hits over his last two road starts. We are getting a fantastic price with Darvish on the mound, so my San Diego Padres vs NY Yankees prediction is for the Padres to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Padres ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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