The Toronto Blue Jays and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Trey Yesavage for the start here and Yesavage is 4-4 with a 3.31 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Walker Buehler will start for the Padres here and is 5-5 with a 5.07 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays will be out to add on to their 5-3 win over San Diego last time out to sit at 45-49 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Chicago White Sox.
Blue Jays Win 3 In A Row
Going into Friday, Andres Gimenez has 66 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 37 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 102 hits with 23 doubles, 7 home runs and 30 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 78 hits with 11 doubles, 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and a team-high 114 strikeouts while George Springer also has 11 doubles, 9 homers and 22 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 85 hits with 14 doubles, 5 home runs and 37 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 59 hits with 14 doubles, 7 home runs and 29 RBIs.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from the loss at the hands of Toronto on Friday to sit at 46-48 this season. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a series against the Kansas City Royals.
Padres Drop 7 Of Last 10
Entering Friday, Jackson Merrill has 76 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 37 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 37 hits with 6 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 102 hits with 19 doubles and 35 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 69 hits with 7 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 63 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 52 RBIs as well on the year.
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: July 11, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler Record this season: 5-5 ERA: 5.07
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won five of their last six games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight Saturday night games.
- The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six night games following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage Record this season: 4-4 ERA: 3.31
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Padres: –
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Padres’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games at Petco Park.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Padres’ last four night games against AL East opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two home games against the Blue Jays.
- Walker Buehler has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Walker Buehler has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 Saturday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T5th in the league in Steals (23) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against NL opponents.
- Trey Yesavage has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Blue Jays as road underdogs.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous Saturday night appearances against NL West teams that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (104) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (366).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (694).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (256).
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m backing the Blue Jays in this one. I get the allure of backing the Padres at home, but Walker Buehler hasn’t been all that effective lately and Trey Yesavage has been far better in his road starts so far this season. San Diego continues to disappoint and this is a big deal for Toronto to keep their momentum going into the all-star break. Give me Toronto here.