The Seattle Mariners and the San Diego Padres meet in MLB interleague action from Petco Park on Tuesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
San Diego is listed as a -135 home favorite while Seattle is a +115 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Logan Gilbert will get the start for Seattle and is 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres and is 3-2 with a 4.71 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Seattle’s 6-1 win back on September 14th, 2022, made it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings for the Mariners over the Padres.
Trends
Seattle is 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and 1-4 in their last 5 series-opening games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. San Diego is 2-6 in their last 8 home games and 8-3 in their last 11 series-opening games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record.
Pick
I’m on the under here. I just think this has all of the makings of a low-scoring pitcher’s duel, as Joe Musgrove’s a lot better than his season numbers would indicate and Logan Gilbert’s been pretty consistent throughout the month of May before getting rocked in his last outing. I think this ends up as a first to 3 wins kind of game, so give me the under here.