In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners betting prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, March 28th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:
- The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance
- The Mariners recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Seattle
- Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Seattle
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Seattle
Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox were 19-12 during Spring Training and they scored 151 runs, while allowing 130 runs. Boston had a disappointing finish to their 2023 season, as they went 78-84 and finished fifth in the AL East. The Red Sox were in the playoff race for a while, but they really struggled down the stretch to close out the season. Boston had a pretty solid offensive attack, as they were 11th in runs scored, but they were 21st in team ERA and 20th in team WHIP. The Red Sox didn’t do much during the offseason, so it will be interesting to see if they can improve upon last year’s numbers. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who was 12-11 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 157 innings pitched last year. The Red Sox will meet the A’s after this series.
Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners are went 15-13 in Spring Training and they scored 202 runs, while allowing 186 runs. Seattle hit the cover off of the ball during the Spring, but they did not pitch very well. The Mariners went 88-74 in 2023 and they had a very solid season, but they finished one game out of the last wild card spot and only two games out of first in the AL West. Seattle is in one of the toughest divisions in baseball, so there is not much room for error. Seattle had the third best team ERA and was tied for the second best WHIP in the MLB last year, while being 12th in runs scored with 758. I really liked watching Seattle play last season and they should be right in the mix for the AL West once again. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who was 14-9 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 197 innings pitched last season. The Mariners will take on the Guardians, Brewers, and Blue Jays following this series.
Seattle Mariners Team Facts
- The Mariners have won each of their last seven home openers.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six home openers against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games as favorites.
Boston Red Sox Team Facts
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven Thursday night road games.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four road openers.
- The Red Sox have led after 7 innings in each of their last four season openers as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road openers as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last two games as favorites against the Red Sox.
- Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of the Mariners’ last four home openers.
- Luis Urias has recorded a hit in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents.
- Ty France has recorded a Single in each of his four previous appearances in season openers.
- Luis Urias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three road openers.
- Rafael Devers has recorded two RBIs in four of the Red Sox’s last five road openers against AL opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last four road openers.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Red Sox vs Mariners Betting Prediction
Seattle comes into this season trying to replicate last season’s success, but they hope to make the postseason this year. The Mariners put up 88 wins in 2023 and were so close to winning the division and/or making a wild card spot. Boston didn’t have a terrible record, but they finished last in the AL East and failed to make many upgrades during the offseason. Bello had a solid season for the Red Sox in 2023, but he did have some rough outings towards the end of the season. I think the Mariners are going to start this season strong and I could see them putting up a big number to open the season here. Take Seattle -1.5 in this game.