In this article we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 29th at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Mariners Continue to Lead the AL West
The Seattle Mariners are 47-37 this year and they have won two games in a row. Seattle won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Rays, lost two out of three against the Marlins, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Seattle is just 3-6 in their last nine games, but they have a 5.5 game lead over the Astros in the AL West.
The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 328 runs with a .218 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Ty France is batting .235 with eight home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored three runs or fewer in six of their last nine games.
Twins Trying to Stay Hot
The Minnesota Twins are 45-37 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Minnesota dropped game one in this series on Friday, as they only scored two runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Athletics, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Minnesota is 10-5 in their last 15 games and they are tied for second in the AL Central.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 394 runs with a .248 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .312 with nine home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in 11 of their last 15 games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 6-6 with a 3.90 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this year. Miller has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but has allowed 13 earned runs in the other two outings in that span. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 7-6 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this season. Lopez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow 12 earned runs in the other two outings in that span.
Why the Mariners will beat the Twins
- The Twins have lost each of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have won five of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Twins and Mariners.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four games as favorites against the Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight home games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Bryce Miller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances.
- Dylan Moore has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- J.P. Crawford has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games.
- Josh Rojas has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as favorites.
- Pablo Lopez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last seven road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances.
- Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at T-Mobile Park.
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances at T-Mobile Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for hits this season (596).
- The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (851).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (162).
- The Minnesota Twins rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (735).
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Seattle was able to pick up the win in game one of this series on Friday night, but they have not played well recently and the Astros are starting to chase them down. The Mariners are 28-12 at home, while Minnesota is 22-21 on the road. The Twins have played very well over the last few weeks, but they are starting Pablo Lopez, who has been very inconsistent this season. Seattle is going with Bryce Miller, who has solid numbers, but has had two very poor starts recently. I don’t trust this Seattle offense at all, but I do think they can find some success against Lopez. My Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for the Mariners to win.