The Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will send out Zebby Matthews for the start here and Matthews is 4-8 with a 5.21 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. Bryce Miller will start here for the Mariners and is 4-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over the Royals from their last matchup to sit at 55-55 this season. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for a series rematch against Kansas City.
Twins Win 6 Of Last 8
Byron Buxton has 87 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 45 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 94 hits with 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 63 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 87 hits with 14 doubles, 4 homers and 30 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 15 home runs with 56 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 36 RBIs while Kody Clemens has 85 hits with 20 doubles, 5 triples, 19 home runs and 53 RBIs this season.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to rebound from their 6-2 loss at the hands of the Dodgers last time out to sit at 53-57 this season. After this series, the Mariners will take on the Seattle Mariners in a series at home.
Mariners Lose 7 Of Last 9
Luke Raley has 15 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Cole Young’s added 104 hits with 14 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 48 RBIs and Cal Raleigh has 46 hits with 7 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 RBIs as well this season. Randy Arozarena has 106 hits with 22 doubles, 13 home runs and 48 RBIs as well on the year. Josh Naylor also has 106 hits with 8 home runs and 38 RBIs as well on the year. Julio Rodriguez has also added 98 hits with 16 doubles, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs.
Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: July 31, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 2.75
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Twins: 1-1
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Twins following a road loss.
- The Twins have lost each of their last four night games against the Mariners following a win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against AL Central opponents.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zebby Matthews Record this season: 4-8 ERA: 5.21
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Mariners: 0-0
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Twins have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last seven games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last five games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last nine games between the Twins and Mariners.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 11 of the Twins’ last 12 road games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three home games against the Twins.
- Bryce Miller has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games against AL opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Zebby Matthews has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Zebby Matthews has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Kody Clemens is one of only eight players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (271).
- The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (271).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (547).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (547).
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction
I’m on the Twins in this one. I just don’t think the Mariners, with the state of their offense, or lack thereof, should be favored like this in their current form. Sure, Miller is a decent option, but he’s been sloppy in a lot of his recent starts and while Matthews isn’t much better, this is just a case of two teams headed in different directions. Give me the Twins here.