The San Diego Padres and the Seattle Mariners meet Tuesday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mariners vs Padres Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will send out Dylan Cease for the start and Cease is 6-11 with a 4.71 ERA and 178 strikeouts this season. This will be Cease’s second career start against the Mariners. Luis Castillo will get the nod for the Mariners here and is 8-7 with a 3.57 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Castillo is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 35 strikeouts.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from a 9-6 loss at the hands of the Mariners to sit at 74-58 this season. After this series, the Padres will take to the road for an interleague series against the Minnesota Twins.
Padres Drop Back-To-Back Games
Manny Machado has 145 hits including a team-high 32 doubles, 21 home runs, 77 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 128 hits with 17 home runs and 52 RBIs along with 25 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 144 hits with 27 doubles, 4 triples, 6 home runs and 47 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 91 hits with 9 home runs and 51 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 28 doubles and 19 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 58 RBIs as well this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
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- The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Padres and Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last three road games against the Mariners.
- Luis Arraez has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last four road games against AL opponents.
- Dylan Cease has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
- Luis Arraez ranks T4th in the league in Hits (147) this season.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their series-opening win over the Padres from Monday’s matchup to sit at 71-61 on the year. After this set, the Mariners will travel to Cleveland for a series with the Guardians.
Mariners Win Back-To-Back Games
Jorge Polanco has 87 hits including 18 home runs and 54 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 116 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 47 home runs and 102 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 114 hits with 25 doubles, 23 home runs, 59 RBIs and 24 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 138 hits with 24 doubles, 4 triples, 25 home runs, 71 RBIs and 23 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 9 homers and 12 stolen bases as well this season. J.P Crawford has 122 hits with 19 doubles, 9 home runs and 44 RBIs.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last six road games against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have won 10 of their last 11 games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- J.P. Crawford has recorded a Double in six of his last seven home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Castillo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
- Luis Castillo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 31 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against NL West opponents.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (50) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Sixteen of the Padres’ last 18 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Mariners vs Padres Prediction
I’m backing the Mariners in this one. I get the allure of the Padres here, but the problem has been Dylan Cease on the road for much of the season, as he still has an ERA well over five. He has yet to pick up a win on the road this year. I think Seattle’s bats keep it going here, so I’ll side with Seattle in this one.