In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 13th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this doubleheader.
Cardinals Have Lost Three Straight
The St. Louis Cardinals are 48-45 this year and they have lost three games in a row. St. Louis lost game one in this series by a score of 5-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost both games against the Royals, won three out of four against the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Pirates. St. Louis is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 379 runs with a .243 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Nolan Arenado is batting .263 with eight home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has allowed 19 runs in their last three games.
Cubs Looking for Six Straight
The Chicago Cubs are 46-49 this season and they have won five games in a row. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 5-1 on Friday. Prior to this series, the Cubs swept the Orioles in three games, won two out of three against the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Chicago is 7-1 in their last eight games and they are tied for last in the NL Central.
The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 400 runs with a .234 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Seiya Suzuki is batting .264 with 12 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored at least five runs in four of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis in game one is Lance Lynn, who is 4-4 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this year. Lynn has been up and down this season, but he did allow 10 earned runs last time out against the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals in game two is Kyle Gibson, who is 7-3 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 97.2 innings pitched this season. Gibson has allowed at least three earned runs in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago in game one is Hayden Wesneski, who is 3-5 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 56.1 innings pitched this year. Wesneski has allowed eight earned runs in his last three starts (15.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for the Cubs in game two is Javier Assad, who is making his first start since being injured a couple of weeks ago.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Cubs
- The Cubs have lost nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against the Cubs at Busch Stadium following a home loss.
Why the Cubs will beat the Cardinals
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven Saturday day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Saturday day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last six games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Cardinals’ last 11 day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight day games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last three games.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Lance Lynn has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 Saturday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 Saturday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last four day games.
- Lance Lynn has recorded a win in seven of his last nine appearances at Busch Stadium against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against the Cubs at Busch Stadium.
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two day games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Ian Happ has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Ian Happ has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last eight games.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cubs’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
One thing to keep in mind with double headers is to check the starting pitchers the day of the matchup, as they have a tendency to change who is starting in which game. The Cardinals are playing very well over the last two months and they are above .500 at home, while the Cubs have not played well on the road. Chicago started the season playing decently well, but they have really fallen off since that point. In game one, I am going to fade Lance Lynn, especially after that last start. In game two, while I do like Assad, I think Gibson will give the Cardinals just enough to get the win. My St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Cubs to win game one and the Cardinals to win game two.