In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 11th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 72-72 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. St. Louis lost the first game in this series, as they were shut out on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against the Mariners, won two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Yankees. St. Louis is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are third in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Cardinals’ offense has scored 592 runs with a .247 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .246 with 21 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 71-75 this season and they have won three games in a row. Cincinnati won game one in this series by a score of 3-0 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Mets, swept the Astros, and lost three out of four against the Brewers. Cincinnati is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Reds’ offense has scored 645 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .260 with 23 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brandon Williamson, who is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP over 8.0 innings pitched this season. Williamson has allowed two earned runs and four hits in two outings this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Lance Lynn, who is 6-4 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 106.1 innings pitched this year. Lynn has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts but has been on the IL since late July.
Why the Reds will beat the Cardinals
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have won each of their last four games against the Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Reds and Cardinals have gone UNDER the total run line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Masyn Winn has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
- Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Reds.
- Willson Contreras has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Double in four of the Cardinals’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Reds.
- Lance Lynn has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
- Lance Lynn has recorded a win in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Reds.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cardinals’ last five home games against NL opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last three road games against NL Central opponents.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four road appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight games.
- TJ Friedl has scored a run in each of the Reds’ last four night games.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
- Jonathan India has hit at least one home run in three of the Reds’ last four Wednesday games.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati was able to pick up the win in game one of this series on Tuesday and they have been red hot over the last two weeks. The Reds are 35-36 on the road this year, while the Cardinals are 37-35 at home. St. Louis has played .500 ball over the last 10 days and they will welcome back Lance Lynn in this game, but I don’t trust Lynn coming off of a lengthy IL stay. The Reds are going with Williamson, who is making just his third appearance, but he has been solid in the first two. Take the Reds to get another win here.