In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 22nd at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 62-64 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. St. Louis lost the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 10-6 on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against the Dodgers, lost all three against the Reds, and split two games with the Royals. St. Louis is 2-7 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 520 runs with a .246 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .228 with 19 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 73-53 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Milwaukee won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2. Prior to this series, the Brewers swept the Guardians in three games, split four games with the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Reds. Milwaukee is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are first in the NL Central.
The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 603 runs with a .254 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .250 with 22 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Miles Mikolas, who is 8-10 with a 5.41 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 138.0 innings pitched this year. Mikolas has allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 8-7 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 137.1 innings pitched this season. Peralta has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three starts.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Brewers
- The Brewers have lost each of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have won each of their last three games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as home underdogs.
Why the Brewers will beat the Cardinals
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine Thursday day games against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine Thursday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last six games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last four games as home underdogs.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four home games against the Brewers.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in day games.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cardinals’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
- Tommy Pham has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Brewers.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Tommy Pham has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded a Double in five of the Brewers’ last six road games against NL Central opponents.
- Willy Adames has recorded an RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four day games.
- William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last six games against the Cardinals.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 road games.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Blake Perkins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Blake Perkins has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
St. Louis was able to erase a late two-run deficit in the ninth inning on Wednesday night, then they walked it off with a grand slam from Arenado in the 10th inning. The Cardinals are 33-30 at home this year, while the Brewers are 35-29 on the road. Milwaukee and St. Louis are the top two teams in the NL Central right now, but the Brewers are up 11 games. Both of these starting pitchers have struggled in recent outings and Mikolas has been bad for a few years now, so I think we should see plenty of runs. My St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for this game to go over the total.