The Philadelphia Phillies and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Tuesday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a Phillies vs Cardinals prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
- The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance
- The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
- Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Cardinals
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Cardinals game
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Phillies took on the Washington Nationals over the weekend, winning the first two games 4-0 and 5-2. Philly missed out on the sweep with a 3-2 loss Sunday, though. On Monday versus the Cardinals, the Phillies gave up a couple of runs in the bottom of the ninth but eventually prevailed 5-3 in 10 innings. Starter Spencer Turnbull finished with 6.0 clean frames, two hits, one walk and six Ks.
In the starter slot for the Tuesday game two, the Phillies are sending out Zack Wheeler. Over his two games so far this year Wheeler is 0-1 with a 0.75 ERA and 15 Ks in 12.0 frames. Wheelers is 87-64 in his MLB career with a 3.42 ERA in 229 total starts.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
Over on the Cardinals’ side, their weekend set was against the Miami Marlins. St. Louis similarly won the first pair before a Sunday loss 10-3. On Monday the Cardinals showed some late life but couldn’t complete the comeback. Miles Mikolas gave up two earned on six hits and two walks in 6.2 innings during his start.
It’ll be Sonny Gray in the starting pitcher role for the Cardinals on Tuesday. It’ll be his season debut following a hamstring injury in Spring Training. In his career, Gray is 98-85 overall with a 3.47 ERA in 279 games (270 starts).
St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts
- The Cardinals have won each of their last three games as home underdogs following an extra innings loss.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games at Busch Stadium against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last five games as home underdogs.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six night games at Busch Stadium against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Cardinals.
- The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last six night games against the Cardinals.
Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Phillies. I could go either way here, though. Wheeler is just 0-1 this year so far, but he’s pitched very well during a pair of tough-luck outings. In each game Wheeler went 6.0 innings and has given up a total of one earned on eight hits and one walk. Philly will be set up well if Wheeler can keep it going—the bats just need to help him out. It’ll be interesting to see what Gray can do on the other side as well.
On Monday versus the Cardinals, Philadelphia coughed up two runs in the bottom of the ninth and nearly blew the game. The offense eventually came through however, thanks to 10 team hits. Brandon Marsh notched a homer with two hits and two RBI, and Trea Turner had a nice outing with three hits and one RBI. Philly could use a better effort from the bullpen this time (4.0 innings; three earned) but I think they’ve got a pretty good shot in game two. Should be a fun matchup regardless, though.