The San Diego Padres and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Monday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will send out Randy Vasquez for the start and Vasquez is 3-6 with a 4.63 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s first career start against St. Louis. The St. Louis Cardinals will trot out Kyle Gibson here and Gibson is 7-5 with a 4.22 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Gibson is 2-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this series fresh off of a series split with the New York Mets thanks to a 3-2 walk-off win in Sunday’s series finale. The split helped the Padres build on their series win over the Minnesota Twins to start the week.
Padres Trying To Keep Pace In NL West & Wild Card Races
Jurickson Profar has 135 hits along with a .291 batting average and 24 doubles with 21 homers and 79 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 74 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 20 home runs and 74 RBIs but also has 99 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cardinals have lost eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games following a home win.
St. Louis Cardinals Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this set after their series win against the Minnesota Twins thanks to a 3-2 win in Sunday’s series finale. The win gave St. Louis back-to-back series wins after beating out the Milwaukee Brewers to start last week. The Cardinals will take on the Yankees after this series.
Cardinals Back At .500
Nolan Arenado has 128 hits along with 19 doubles and 60 RBIs while Brendan Donovan has 124 hits and 56 RBIs with 27 doubles. Nolan Gorman has 19 home runs along with 50 RBIs in addition to 15 doubles while Masyn Winn has a .278 batting average, 128 hits and 10 stolen bases. Paul Goldschmidt also has 147 K’s while Gorman has a team-high 151 strikeouts as well this season. Alec Burleson also has a team-high 21 home runs and 70 RBIs as well this year.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Padres have lost nine of their last 10 games at Busch Stadium.
- The Cardinals have won each of their last six home games against the Padres following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line each of their last eight Monday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against the Cardinals following a win.
St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the over here. I was initially on the Padres, but I really don’t trust Randy Vasquez either, and he was a late announcement for the start here. I also have zero desire to back Kyle Gibson, who has shown signs of regression, and also has an ERA just under five at home this season. I think there are some runs in store in Monday’s opener, so I’m backing the over in this one.