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Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 6-10-24 Picks

Baltimore Orioles (41-22) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (31-33)
June 10, 2024 6:50 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays +145 / Baltimore Orioles -172; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Monday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Orioles took on the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. Baltimore managed wins 7-2 and 10-1 in the first two outings before losses in the next pair. After a 6-3 win in the opener versus the Rays, on Saturday the O’s cruised to a 5-0 shutout victory. In the Sunday game three Baltimore powered out another win, this time 9-2.

For the starter gig in the Monday finale the Orioles will send out Corbin Burnes. This year Burnes is 6-2 with a 2.26 ERA in 13 starts. Over 79.2 innings he’s got 76 Ks. Burnes is 51-29 with a 3.16 ERA in 180 career games (119 starts).

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they played a couple of games versus the Miami Marlins last week. Tampa Bay won both of those matchups 9-5 and 5-3. On Sunday in game three versus the O’s Tampa Bay got 6.0 innings and three earned runs out of starter Zack Littell.

It’ll be Ryan Pepiot on the mound for the starting role for Tampa Bay on Monday. This year Pepiot is 4-2 with a 3.96 ERA in 10 starts. Pepiot is 9-3 with a 3.24 career ERA in 27 games (20 starts) total.

Orioles vs Rays Injury Notes

Orioles LF Austin Hays (ribs) was not in the starting lineup Sunday.

Rays SP Jeffrey Springs (elbow) threw one inning in a rehab outing Friday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Four of the Rays’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Orioles’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last four night games against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Siri has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Siri has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Rays’ last nine games as home underdogs.
  • Taylor Walls has scored at least one run in six of his last seven home appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four night games.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
  • Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last four night games.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cedric Mullins has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Orioles as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Corbin Burnes has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 road appearances.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll probably stay with the Orioles here. Burnes is pitching pretty well over his last two starts (both wins). In that pair Burnes has 14.0 innings with just one earned run on seven hits and four walks. As for Pepiot, he’s given up eight earned runs over this last 15.2 innings of work over three starts.

On Sunday the Orioles started a little slowly on offense but eventually powered out 13 team hits and scored four times in the eighth inning alone. I like Baltimore to keep it rolling in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -172

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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