The Toronto Blue Jays and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Tuesday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Kevin Gausman for the start here and Gausman is 2-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rays, Gausman is 0-1 with a 5.26 ERA and 29 strikeouts. Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays here and is 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, Rasmussen is 1-4 with a 3.21 ERA and 16 strikeouts.
Toronto Blue Jays Recap
The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-1 loss at the hands of Tampa Bay on Monday to fall to 16-19 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.
Blue Jays Drop Back-To-Back Games
Andres Gimenez has 30 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 40 hits with 13 doubles and 9 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 30 hits with 2 doubles, 9 home runs, 22 RBIs and a team-high 42 strikeouts while George Springer also has 4 doubles, 2 homers with 7 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 43 hits with 7 doubles, 2 home runs and 16 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 27 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 15 RBIs.
Tampa Bay Rays Recap
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to add on to their win over Toronto from Monday to improve to 22-12 this season. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.
Rays Win 9 Of Last 10
Yandy Diaz has 39 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 21 RBIs while Chandler Simpson has 40 hits with 2 triples and 7 RBIs. Nick Fortes has 23 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 8 RBIs and Jonathan Aranda has 33 hits with 4 doubles, 7 homers and 28 RBIs. Junior Caminero’s also added 33 hits with 3 doubles, 9 home runs and 16 RBIs and Ben WIlliamson has 23 hits with 5 doubles and 10 RBIs.
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: May 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 2.64
- Home Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-3
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 games following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven games against the Rays following a road loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 3.10
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Rays: 0-1
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won 21 of their last 30 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Blue Jays’ last 13 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Blue Jays and Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances.
- Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
- Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T4th in the league in Steals (11) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine road appearances against the Rays.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 22 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of his last two appearances against the Rays.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Hits (43) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (43).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (246).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (235).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for steals this season (12).
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I just think this is a really solid starting pitching matchup of Gausman and Rasmussen and then two bullpens that have really improved over the last few weeks as well. I think this could be a first to 4 wins kind of game so give me the under in this one.