The Houston Astros and the Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Houston Astros will send out Cristian Javier for the start here and Javier is 0-1 with a 10.22 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. MacKenzie Gore will start here for the Rangers and is 5-8 wtih a 4.72 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their 9-3 win over the Rangers from Saturday to sit at 47-50 this season. After this series, the Astros will have a series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Astros Snap Two-Game Slide
Entering Saturday, Yordan Alvarez has 105 hits with 16 doubles, 29 home runs and 67 RBIs while Christian Walker has 84 hits with 18 doubles, 20 home runs and 58 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 63 hits with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 26 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 81 hits with 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 47 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 69 hits with 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a loss at the hands of Houston last time out to sit at 48-47 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Rangers Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Going into Saturday, Brandon Nimmo has 86 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 9 home runs and 31 RBIs while Jake Burger has 80 hits with 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 54 RBIs. Corey Seager has 34 hits with 6 doubles, 10 home runs and 25 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 39 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs while Josh Jung has 97 hits with 23 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs as well on the year.
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: July 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore Record this season: 5-8 ERA: 4.72
- Home Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-2
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won 11 of their last 12 games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven day games against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Astros.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 10.22
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Rangers: 3-1
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Astros’ last eight games at Globe Life Field.
- The Rangers have lost 10 of their last 14 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games at Globe Life Field.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Rangers have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last four road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Astros’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Wyatt Langford has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in five of the Astros’ last six games against the Rangers.
- Cristian Javier has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Rangers.
- Cristian Javier has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Rangers.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.633) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (271).
- The Rangers rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (134).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (422).
- The Astros rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (131).
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Prediction
I’m on the Rangers in this one. Cristian Javier has not been very good this season and I don’t think there’s any backing him in this spot. MacKenzie Gore has been much better at home this season and I think it’s a good spot to take a shot on him here to slow down a Houston team that isn’t as strong as past seasons against lefties. Give me the Rangers.