Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8-20-24 MLB Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates (58-66) vs. Texas Rangers (58-68)
August 20, 2024 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -155 / Pittsburgh Pirates +130; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 20th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 58-68 this year and they have won two games in a row. Texas won the first game in this series by a score of 4-3 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Rangers lost three out of four against the Twins, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Yankees. Texas is 4-9 in their last 13 games and they are third in the AL West.
The Texas pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 535 runs with a .239 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Corey Seager is batting .273 with 28 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Rangers this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-66 this season and they have split their last four games. Pittsburgh dropped game one in this series on Monday night, where they managed just three runs. Prior to this series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Mariners, lost all three against the Padres, and lost all three against the Dodgers. Pittsburgh is 2-12 in their last 14 games and they are last in the NL Central.
The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 514 runs with a .234 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .281 with 19 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Pirates this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Cody Bradford, who is 4-0 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year. Bradford has allowed three total earned runs in his last two starts (11.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 10-7 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 141.1 innings pitched this season. Keller has allowed 15 earned runs in his last two outings (9.0 IP).
Why the Rangers will beat the Pirates
- The Pirates have lost each of their last eight road games.
- The Rangers have won each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday home games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 17 games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Pirates and Rangers.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Pirates.
- Marcus Semien has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Carson Kelly has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Marcus Semien has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers’ last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Corey Seager has hit at least one home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Pirates.
- Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Keller has recorded four or more strikeouts in 19 of his last 20 appearances in night games.
- Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Jared Triolo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Mitch Keller has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Yasmani Grandal has recorded two or more total bases in each of his seven previous road appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Texas was able to pick up the narrow win in game one of this series on Monday night and they will go for their third straight win here. The Rangers are pretty much done in the hunt for the playoffs, but they are 33-30 at home. Pittsburgh is 29-34 on the road this season and they have played very poorly in their last 14 games. Pittsburgh is going with Mitch Keller, who has been lit up in his last two outings. I don’t really trust Keller in this spot and Texas is decent at home, so my Texas Rangers vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is for the Rangers to win.