In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 4th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Rangers Could Use a Series Win
The Texas Rangers are 39-47 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Texas won the first game in this series by a score of 7-0 on Tuesday, but they did lose on Wednesday. Prior to that series, the Rangers lost three out of four against the Orioles, lost all three against the Brewers, and swept the Royals. Texas is 2-7 in their last nine games and they are third in the AL West standings.
The Texas pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 368 runs with a .239 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .221 with 16 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has allowed at least six runs in four of their last seven games.
Padres Trying to Stay Close to the Dodgers
The San Diego Padres are 47-43 this year and they have won six of their last eight games. San Diego was shutout in game one of this series, but they did win game two by a score of 6-4 on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Padres won two out of three against the Red Sox, swept the Nationals, and won three out of four against the Brewers. San Diego is 10-3 in their last 13 games and they are second in the NL West, eight games behind the Dodgers.
The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 418 runs with a .262 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .264 with 11 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has scored at least six runs in nine of their last twelve games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 99.2 innings pitched this year. King has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Max Scherzer, who is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA and a 0.68 WHIP over 10.1 innings pitched this season. Scherzer has allowed two earned runs and five hits over 10.1 innings against the Royals and Orioles so far this year.
Why the Rangers will beat the Padres
- The Padres have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The home team has won 11 of the Rangers’ last 13 games.
- The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last six Thursday games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Padres’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rangers’ last six day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Adolis Garcia has recorded a Double in each of the Rangers’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Adolis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Thursday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Max Scherzer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances in day games.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rangers’ last six day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Jonah Heim has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Padres as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his 15 previous appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his 15 previous appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- David Peralta has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Rangers.
- David Peralta has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction
Texas comes into this matchup eight games below the .500 mark and they have not played well this year, but they are 21-20 at home. San Diego is one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now and they are 23-21 on the road. The Padres are trying to chase down the Dodgers in the NL West and they will start Michael King, who has been very solid over the last three weeks. Texas is going with Max Scherzer, who has been great in limited work since returning from injury, but he will face a red hot San Diego lineup here. I do like how King has looked recently, but Scherzer gives the Rangers the edge here. My Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres prediction is for Texas to win.