In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 25th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 34-46 this year after they lost two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 5-3, 3-4, and 2-4. In game three, Detroit tied the game at two in the fourth inning, but went scoreless over the last five innings for the loss. The Tigers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by McKinstry, who went 1-4 with with one RBI. Skubal allowed four hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while De Jesus threw 1.1 innings in relief. Prior to that series, Detroit swept the White Sox in three games, but lost two out of three against the Astros before that.
This season, Detroit has a 3.83 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 324 runs with a .235 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 18 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Troy Melton, who is 4-0 with a 2.56 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this year.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 39-43 this season after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 2-4, 9-7, and 3-1. In game three, Houston was tied at one after the first inning, but they scored once in the eighth and once in the ninth for the victory. The Astros recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Pena, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Burrows allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Okert got the win and Hader picked up another save. Prior to that series, Houston won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Tigers.
This season, Houston has a 4.76 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 370 runs with a .243 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 25 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Tatsuya Imai, who is 4-3 with a 6.15 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 41.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last six home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Astros have lost five of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Comerica Park against AL West opponents.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 night games following a home loss.
- The Astros have won eight of their last nine night games against the Tigers following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday night games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 28 of their last 35 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Tigers’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Astros’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Astros’ last six games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four night games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kevin McGonigle has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL West opponents.
- Troy Melton has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
- Troy Melton has recorded five strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
- Hao-Yu Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
- Dillon Dingler ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.535) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Tatsuya Imai has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last nine games.
- Brice Matthews has hit a home run in two of the Astros’ last three road games against AL Central opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.634) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank T28th in the league for steals this season (27).
- The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (16).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (357).
- The Astros rank T28th in the league for triples this season (6).
Tigers vs Astros Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after losing their last two games against the Yankees and they are 7.5 games back in the AL Central. The Tigers are 22-18 at home this year, while the Astros are 19-22 on the road. Houston has won three of their last four games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Astros are starting Imai, who has allowed eight earned runs and 10 hits in his last 6.2 innings, while Melton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Tigers at home.