In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, September 14th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 75-75 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 39-36 home record and are coming off an 8-1 home win against the Orioles. They will face the Reds and the Tigers next.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a .249 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 85 and adds a team-high 32 home runs.
Jose Soriano (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 12-7 record, 3.48 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 70-79 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 31-43 away record and are coming off an 8-1 home win against the Rockies. They will face the White Sox and the Nationals next.
The Detroit Tigers have a .239 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 87 and adds a team-high 27 home runs.
Troy Melton (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 8-4 record, 2.42 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jose Soriano Record this season: 12-7 ERA: 3.48
- Home Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Tigers: 0-2
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last six games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight Monday games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL opponents following a home win.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last four games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against AL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Troy Melton Record this season: 8-4 ERA: 2.42
- Road Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: –
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last six games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Tigers following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last eight games at Rogers Centre.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Tigers following a home win.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games against AL East opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Tigers’ last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last 12 night games at Rogers Centre.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the last 14 night games between the Tigers and Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three night games.
- Jose Soriano has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Jose Soriano has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Nathan Lukes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kazuma Okamoto ranks 10th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of his last five road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Troy Melton has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (8).
- The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (608).
- The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (53).
- The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (32).
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Tigers but have lost two of their their last three meetings in Toronto.
In this Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -130 home favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup as both have been in bad form lately. Melton has been in his worst stretch of the season, having given up 3, 3, 5 and 4 runs in his last four starts and Soriano has given up 3+ runs in four of his last five starts. Both offenses have been red-hot, averaging 10.7 runs in their last 10 games combined and because both bullpens have been excellent lately, I will go over 4 in the F5 innings.