In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 19th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 85-68 this year after they lost all three games against Cleveland by scores of 5-7, 0-4, and 1-3. In their game three loss, Detroit led 1-0 in the second inning, but failed to score over the last seven innings for the loss. The Tigers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Keith, who went 1-1 with one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Melton picked up the loss.
Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did win two out of three against the Yankees before that. Detroit has lost six of their last seven games and they are first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 735 runs with a .248 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 34 home runs and 108 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 29 home runs and 74 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Charlie Morton, who is 9-10 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP over 139.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 70-83 this season after they swept the Nationals in four games by scores of 11-3, 6-3, 5-0, and 9-4. In their game four win, Atlanta trailed 3-0 in the fifth inning, but scored the next nine runs to pull away with the victory. The Braves recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Ozuna, who went 3-5 with three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Waldrep, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while five other pitchers closed out the game.
Prior to that series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Cubs. Atlanta has won five games in a row and they are fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 677 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 28 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 65 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 7-10 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Braves will beat the Tigers
- The Braves have won each of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have lost the first inning in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Charlie Morton has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 17 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances against the Braves.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Braves.
- Wenceel Perez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last six games.
- Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Friday night appearances.
Tigers vs Braves Prediction
Detroit comes into this series desperately looking for wins, as Cleveland is within 3.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers are 46-32 at home this season, while the Braves are 34-44 on the road. Atlanta has won five games in a row and they are starting Elder, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Detroit is going with Morton, who has allowed 2, 3, 6, and 5 earned runs in his last four outings. The Tigers continue to slide and their bats are asleep, so give me the Braves here.