In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 23rd at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 13-12 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 4-12 and 5-2. In game two, Detroit trailed 1-0 in the third inning, but they scored the next four runs to pull away with the win. The Tigers recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Mize allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Jansen picked up the save. Prior to this series, Detroit split four games with the Red Sox and swept the Royals in three games.
This season, Detroit has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 109 runs with a .247 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with five home runs and 18 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added one home run and 14 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 3-2 with a 2.08 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-10 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-2 on Wednesday night. Milwaukee led 1-0 in the third and they cut the deficit to 4-2 in the eighth, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Brewers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Contreras and Bauers, who both had one RBI. Patrick allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Rodriguez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Blue Jays.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 120 runs with a .239 batting average and a .342 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with five home runs and 15 RBIs, while Garrett Mitchell has added one home run and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Sproat, who is 0-1 with a 6.88 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight home games.
- The Brewers have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home day games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost 21 of their last 31 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 13 games as favorites following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the last five games between the Brewers and Tigers at Comerica Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games as underdogs against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six day games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five home games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in day games.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Tarik Skubal ranks T6th in the league for Wins (3) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Brice Turang ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.430) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (13).
- The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (48).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Brewers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (4).
Tigers vs Brewers Prediction
Detroit was able to even the series at one with a win on Wednesday night and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four games. The Tigers are 9-2 at home this year, while the Brewers are 6-5 on the road. Milwaukee has also lost two of their last three games and they have allowed five runs in three of their last five. The Tigers have a huge advantage with Skubal on the mound, while Sproat has been inconsistent in limited action. Take the Tigers to win by at least two runs here.