In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 14th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 39-33 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL Central. They have a 19-17 home record and are coming off a 3-1 home win against the Tigers. They will face the Brewers and the Astros next.
The Guardians have a .232 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Brayan Rocchio is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Chase DeLauter leads the team in RBI with 34, while Angel Martinez adds a team-high 11 home runs.
Gavin Williams (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 9-3 record, 3.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 29-42 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 11-26 road record and are coming off a 1-3 road defeat against the Guardians. They will face the Astros and the White Sox next.
The Tigers have a .234 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 50, adding a team-high 16 home runs.
Casey Mize (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 2-3 record, 2.27 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: June 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Gavin Williams Record this season: 9-3 ERA: 3.32
- Home Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Tigers: 3-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have won each of their last six games against the Tigers.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last three day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 2.27
- Road Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-1
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games at Progressive Field.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites.
- The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the last five games between the Tigers and Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Casey Mize’s last four road appearances as a starter.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Tigers.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Gavin Williams ranks T1st in the league for Wins (9) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three games.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Riley Greene ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (658).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.372).
- The Tigers rank T28th in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Tigers rank 4th in the league for triples this season (14).
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction
The Guardians have won their last six meetings against the Tigers and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Cleveland.
In this Tigers vs Guardians Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -120 home favorites. I like both pitchers in this matchup, as they have a combined 5.60 ERA and Mize’s two of his last three starts have been shutouts and Gavin Williams has been elite at home with a 2.61 ERA. Both games in this series have been low-scoring ones with 4 and 5 total runs and I expect this trend to continue today. Take the under 7.5 runs.