In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 8th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB Divisional Series matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are down 2-1 in the series after they lost game three by a score of 8-4 last night. Detroit fell behind in the third inning and never really had a chance in the game, but did get some momentum with a few runs in the ninth. The Tigers recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Detroit started Flaherty, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Hanifee allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Tigers defeated the Guardians in three games in the Wild Card round, but did lose two out of three against Cleveland and Boston to end the regular season. Detroit has split their last ten games and they finished second in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.17 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and a .196 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 18 runs with a .191 batting average and a .286 on base percentage in the postseason. Kerry Carpenter has led Detroit with one home run and four RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson added zero home runs and six RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 3.0 innings pitched this year.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are up 2-1 in this series after they won game three by a score of 8-4 on Tuesday. Seattle dominated most of this game and they led 8-1 at one point, before giving up a few in the ninth. The Mariners recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Raleigh, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Seattle started Gilbert, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Ferguson allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Mariners had a bye in the Wild Card round, but did lose all three against the Dodgers to end the regular season. Seattle has lost four of their last six games and they finished first in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff had a 3.87 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 766 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh led Seattle with 60 home runs and 125 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez added 32 home runs and 95 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryce Miller, who is 4-6 with a 5.68 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last eight Wednesday road games.
- The Tigers have won six of their last seven day games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Wednesday road games.
- The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last 10 Wednesday day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Tigers’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mariners’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Casey Mize has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded two or more hits in each of the Tigers’ last four home games.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his four previous appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against the Mariners.
- Casey Mize ranks T8th in the league for Wins (14) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Polanco has hit at least one home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners’ last four playoff games as underdogs.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Bryce Miller has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (60) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (61).
- The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (36).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (234).
- The Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (9).
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction
Seattle jumped all over Detroit in game three on Tuesday night to take the lead in the series, and they will look to close it out with a win here. The Mariners showed off their power with a few home runs on Tuesday and Gilbert had a great outing. Seattle is starting Miller in this game, who was inconsistent this year and had some ugly numbers. Detroit is going with Mize, who has to give them some length after only pitching three innings last time out. I don’t love either pitcher in this game, but I have to fade Miller on the road. Take the Tigers to win.