In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 11th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 59-35 this year after they won two out of three against Tampa Bay by scores of 5-1, 4-2, and 3-7. In their game three loss, Detroit led 3-2 in the fourth inning, but allowed four runs in the sixth for the loss. The Tigers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Meadows, McKinstry, and Torkelson, who all had one RBI in the loss. Detroit started Olson, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Lee allowed four earned runs in relief for the loss.
Prior to that series, the Tigers swept the Guardians in three games, but did lose two out of three against the Nationals before that. Detroit has won five of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 468 runs with a .252 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 22 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 21 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 10-2 with a 2.02 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP over 116.0 innings pitched this year.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 48-45 this season after they lost all three games against the Yankees by scores of 3-10, 6-9, and 5-6. In their game three loss, Seattle led 5-0 in the seventh inning, but they fell apart and lost in extra innings. The Mariners recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Polanco, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Woo, who allowed two hits and two earned runs over 7.1 innings, while Munoz blew the save and Speier picked up the loss.
Prior to that series, the Mariners swept the Pirates in three games and split four games with the Royals. Seattle has split their last eight games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 416 runs with a .246 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 36 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena has added 15 home runs and 44 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who is 5-5 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 103.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Mariners
- The Mariners have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The home team has won each of the Mariners’ last six games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Mariners.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against the Mariners.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Mariners.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Tigers’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last four games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Tigers’ last 14 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his four previous appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against the Mariners.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances.
- Tarik Skubal ranks T2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (148) this season.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Randy Arozarena has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 games.
- Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (35).
- The Tigers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.45).
- The Mariners rank T28th in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction
Seattle limps into this matchup after a rough series in New York, where they completely fell apart in game three. The Mariners are 23-24 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 32-15 at home. Detroit is one of the best teams in baseball and they are starting Skubal, who continues to be the most dominant pitcher in the MLB. Seattle is starting Castillo, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last 13.0 innings. This should be a great pitching matchup, but I have to take the Tigers on the run line at plus money with Skubal on the mound.