In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 1st at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 80-58 this year after they won two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 5-3, 1-3, and 5-0. In their game three win, Detroit scored four runs in the fourth inning and added another in the eighth to seal the shutout victory. The Tigers recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Rogers, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Skubal, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Finnegan and Montero closed down the game.
Prior to that series, the Tigers lost all three against the Athletics, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that. Detroit has lost five of their last seven games, but they still have a huge lead in the AL Central. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 661 runs with a .250 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 32 home runs and 101 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 28 home runs and 70 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Charlie Morton, who is 9-10 with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 73-64 this season after they lost three out of four against Miami by scores of 4-7, 19-9, 8-11, and 1-5. In their game four loss, New York managed to cut the deficit to 5-1 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the defeat. The Mets recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mullins, who went 0-4 with one RBI in the loss. New York started Senga, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Waddell pitched the final 4.1 innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Mets won all three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Braves. New York has won four of their last seven games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 650 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 31 home runs and 110 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 35 home runs and 84 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 1-2 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The underdogs have won six of the Tigers’ last seven games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Mets.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in five of their last six games at Comerica Park.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Mets will beat the Tigers
- The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have won each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four games against National League opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
- Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL Central opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games.
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in each of his three previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 14 games as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (58).
- The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (32).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (122).
- The Mets rank 4th in the league for walks this season (483).
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Tigers vs Mets Prediction
Detroit comes into this series after a nice bounce back in Kansas City, and they are leading the Central by 9.5 games. The Tigers are 44-25 at home this year, while the Mets are 28-37 on the road. New York is playing very inconsistently right now and they are starting Manaea, who has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five outings. Detroit is starting Morton, who has allowed 5, 2, 0, and 6 earned runs in his last four starts. Take the over here.