In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, May 22nd in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 21-29 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL East. They have a 12-12 home record and are coming off a 5-3 loss against the Rays. They will face the Rays and the Blue Jays next.
The Orioles have a .233 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.97 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .257 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 28, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 10 home runs.
Chris Bassitt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 3-3 record, 5.44 ERA and 1.70 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 20-31 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL Central. They have a 7-19 away record and are coming off a 3-1 loss against the Guardians. They will face the Angels and the White Sox next.
The Tigers have a .235 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .326 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 29, adding a team-high 9 home runs.
Jack Flaherty (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 0-5 record, 5.77 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 22, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 5.44
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Tigers: 1-2
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Flaherty Record this season: 0-5 ERA: 5.77
- Road Record: 0-3
- Last 5 against Orioles: 0-1
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The road team has won each of the Tigers’ last six games.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Chris Bassitt’s 10 previous appearances as a starter against the Tigers.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of Jack Flaherty’s last 12 road appearances as a starter.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Adley Rutschman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against the Tigers.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
- Taylor Ward ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.415) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in two of the Tigers’ last three games as road underdogs against the Orioles.
- Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Riley Greene ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.326) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (464).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.97).
- The Tigers rank 27th in the league for RBIs this season (185).
- The Tigers rank T27th in the league for steals this season (20).
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction
The Reds are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Cardinals but are 1-2 in their last three visits in Cincinnati.
In this Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -130 home favorites. Both teams have been struggling as they are 1-5 and 1-9 in their last 6 and 10 games respectively and I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup as they both have 5+ ERA and 1.60+ WHIP. Baltimore ranks 25th in bullpen ERA and the total is set at just 8.5 runs when both pitchers have 4 earned runs across their last three starts combined. Take the over in this one.