In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 10th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 43-50 this season after they swept the Athletics by scores of 6-2, 6-1, and 4-1. In game three, Detroit blew a 1-0 lead in the fifth inning, but they scored the last three runs for the win. The Tigers recorded six hits in the game and they were led by McKinstry, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Valdez allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Jansen picked up the save. Prior to that series, Detroit won two out of three against the Rangers and all three against the Yankees.
This season, Detroit has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 395 runs with a .236 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 13 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 2-8 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-42 this year after they won two out of three against the Reds by scores of 4-1, 5-11, and 1-0. In game three, Philadelphia pitched a great game and finally scored in the eighth inning for the win. The Phillies recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Crawford, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Luzardo allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Duran picked up the save. Prior to that series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Royals and split four games with the Pirates.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while they have scored 413 runs with a .237 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 32 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 20 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 3-6 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 92.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won eight of their last nine games.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last four games following a road win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have won six of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Tigers’ last seven games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six night games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the last five games between the Phillies and Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 11 games as home favorites.
- Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents .
- Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in five of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup looking to extend their winning streak and they are only 4.5 games back in the AL Central. The Tigers are 26-21 at home this year, while the Phillies are 27-21 on the road. Philadelphia has lost three of their last five games and they have scored one run or fewer in three of those five. The Phillies are starting Nola, who has allowed 3, 7, 2, 2, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings, while Flaherty has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Tigers here.