In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 12th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 44-51 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 10-2 and 2-4. In game two, Detroit cut the deficit to 4-2 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Tigers recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Valencia, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Mize allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Jansen threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit swept the Athletics in three games and won two out of three against the Rangers.
This season, Detroit has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 407 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 13 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 5-4 with a 3.06 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 53-43 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-2 on Saturday night. Philadelphia scored four runs in the first four innings, but failed to score in the last five innings in the win. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Realmuto, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Sanchez allowed 10 hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Duran got the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Royals before that.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.28 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 419 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 32 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 20 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 9-1 with a 2.28 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 87.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six day games following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last seven games.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have won 11 of their last 14 games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Tarik Skubal’s last nine appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in six of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Kevin McGonigle has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 12 games as home favorites.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Derek Hill has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against former teams.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Tigers.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (31).
- The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (19).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (935).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction
Detroit had their winning streak snapped on Saturday night in game two, but they have scored at least six runs in three of their last five games. The Tigers are 27-22 at home this year, while the Phillies are 28-22 on the road. Philadelphia has alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they have allowed 10+ runs in two of their last four. The Phillies are starting Wheeler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Skubal has allowed one earned run in back to back starts. Take the Tigers to get another win here.