In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 17th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 10-8 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Detroit is coming off of a series loss to Milwaukee, where they lost two out of three games by scores of 9-1, 0-5, and 1-5. In that game three loss, the Tigers allowed the first four runs in the game, but they did score in the sixth inning to avoid being shutout. Detroit recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-3 with one home run, one RBI, and one walk in the loss. The Tigers started Montero, who allowed eight hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Hurter and Vest pitched three scoreless innings in relief.
Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Yankees. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .214 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 81 runs with a .238 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with six home runs and 13 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added five home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 8-11 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Kansas City is coming off of a series loss to the Yankees, where they were swept in three games by scores of 1-4, 2-4, and 3-4. In that game three loss, the Royals led 1-0 in the first and they tied the game at three in the fifth, but allowed a home run to Judge in the seventh in the loss. The Royals recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Isbel, India, and Perez, who all had one RBI in the loss. Kansas City started Bubic, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Schreiber allowed one hit and one earned run over 0.2 innings for the loss.
Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Guardians and won three out of four against the Twins. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 58 runs with a .206 batting average and a .274 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with two home runs and 11 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Lorenzen, who is 1-2 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 17.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tigers will beat the Royals
- The favorites have won each of the Royals’ last 11 games.
- The Royals have lost 13 of their last 14 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Tigers following a loss.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Why the Royals will beat the Tigers
- The Tigers have lost 11 of their last 12 night games at Comerica Park following a road loss.
- The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Royals and Tigers.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games at Comerica Park following a road loss.
- The Royals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games at Comerica Park following a road loss.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Comerica Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Royals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Thirteen of the Royals’ last 15 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Tigers’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Tigers as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in four of the Tigers’ last five games as favorites.
- Riley Greene has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last five games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 16 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Maikel Garcia has scored a run in each of the Royals’ last four games as road underdogs against the Tigers.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Royals’ last nine games as road underdogs against the Tigers.
- Maikel Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing their last series, but Detroit will be at home. The Tigers are 5-1 at home this year, while the Royals are just 2-7 on the road. Kansas City has really struggled to score runs consistently this season, which is good news for Reese Olson, who has not pitched well to start the year. KC is going with Lorenzen, who has allowed seven earned runs over 17.0 innings so far this year. I don’t like what I have seen from Olson in limited work this year and I think the Royals can put up a crooked number against him. Take the over here.