In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 19th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 12-8 this year and they have won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-3 and 6-1. In the game two win on Friday, Detroit trailed 1-0 early in the game, but they scored the next seven runs to pull away with the win. The Tigers recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torkelson, who went 1-3 with two RBIs and a walk in the win. Detroit started Jobe, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings in the win, while Kahnle pitched the final two outs for the save.
Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Detroit has won five of their last eight games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 94 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with six home runs and 18 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added five home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched this year.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 8-13 this season and they are looking for their first win in the series here. In their game two loss, Kansas City led 1-0 in the first, but they didn’t score again until the ninth, when they put two more runs on the scoreboard. The Royals recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Pasquantino, who went 2-5 with two RBIs in the loss. KC started Ragans, who allowed six hits and five earned runs in 4.0 innings in the loss, while Erceg and Zerpa both allowed an earned run out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Royals lost all three against the Yankees and two out of three against the Guardians. Kansas City has lost five games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 62 runs with a .210 batting average and a .282 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with two home runs and 13 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tigers will beat the Royals
- The Royals have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The home team has won eight of the Royals’ last nine games.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Royals following a win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Tigers following a loss.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Royals’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Tigers’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Royals’ last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five day games against AL Central opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last seven games against AL opponents.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last four games against AL Central opponents at Comerica Park.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last five day games.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Seth Lugo has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances at Comerica Park.
- Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Michael Massey has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in four of the Royals’ last five games against the Tigers.
- Maikel Garcia has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Royals’ last three games against the Tigers.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 17 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Mark Canha has hit a home run in five of his last 10 road appearances against the Tigers.
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup looking for their third straight win in the series and they are 7-1 at home so far this season. The Tigers continue to get great pitching and they are starting Mize in this game, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his first three starts. Kansas City is also getting some very good pitching, but they are near the bottom of the league in runs scored. The Royals have put together quite a few hits in the first two games of this series, but they have scored four total runs. Detroit is rolling right now and we can’t trust the KC offense, so take the Tigers once again.