In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 23rd at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 48-54 this season after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 8-6, 2-11, and 5-1. In game three, Detroit trailed 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the last five runs to get the win. The Tigers recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Montero allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings for the win, while Finnegan picked up a hold in relief. Prior to that series, Detroit won two out of three against the Angels, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that.
This season, Detroit has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 433 runs with a .235 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 22 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 15 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Troy Melton, who is 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this season.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 43-60 this year after they swept the Giants in three games by scores of 4-3, 3-2, and 5-4. In game three, Kansas City trailed 3-0 in the seventh inning, but they scored five runs in the bottom of the seventh for the win. The Royals recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Thomas, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Lugo allowed three hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Cruz picked up the save. Prior to that series, Kansas City won two out of three against the Padres, but lost all three against the Orioles before that.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.93 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 438 runs with a .248 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 14 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Randy Dobnak, who is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 14.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have won each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Royals have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last six games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against the Royals following a win.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Royals’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Royals’ last eight games at Comerica Park.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last six games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Dillon Dingler has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games against AL Central opponents.
- Troy Melton has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Royals.
- Troy Melton has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three games.
- Randy Dobnak has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Michael Massey has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Randy Dobnak has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Royals rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (189).
- The Royals rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (189).
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
Kansas City comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games, but they are 12 games back in the AL Central standings. The Royals are 17-33 on the road this year, while the Tigers are 27-23 at home. Detroit has won three of their last five games and they are 6.5 games back in the Central. The Tigers are starting Melton, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts, while Dobnak has allowed three earned runs in his last 14.0 innings of work. Take the under in this game.