The Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers meet Sunday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Tigers vs Royals Prediction. This article will include a Tigers vs Royals Pick.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 44-62 on the year and play the Rockies and Twins next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .246 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and have a .397 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals’ pitching staff has a 4.87 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 103 hits and 39 RBI, while Carter Jensen and Jac Caglianone have combined for 170 hits and 89 RBI.
Luinder Avila gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-3 with a 4.86 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Avila’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 50-55 on the year and play the Orioles and Athletics next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .235 on the season and have a .312 OBP and a .399 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 107 hits and 51 RBI, while Dillon Dingler and Kevin McGonigle have combined for 202 hits and 101 RBI.
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 5-7 with a 4.57 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. Valdez is 2-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 46 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Royals have lost each of their last nine games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The home team has won 12 of the Royals’ last 14 games.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Royals following a loss.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a road win.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Royals have won five of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last nine games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last nine games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Royals’ last seven games as underdogs against the Tigers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last 10 day games between the Royals and Tigers.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Royals’ last six day games at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last five day games.
- Framber Valdez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Sunday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Royals.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.385) this season.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Salvador Perez has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last four day games.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (33).
- The Royals rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (195).
- The Royals rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (195).
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
I understand the Tigers getting the benefit of the doubt at home, and Valdez is the more trustworthy veteran arm. However, the Tigers have done nothing this season to deserve being priced this steep. Valdez has also been on the struggle bus this month, allowing 17 hits and 12 runs in his last 12.2 innings. Avila is still earning his stripes on the big stage, but he’s held his own on the road, where he has a 3.00 ERA and a .223 allowed batting average. Look, I’ve blindly faded the Royals all year, but this price is insane for an average-at-best Tigers side. Give me the Royals due to the price.
