
Tigers vs Royals Prediction 5/31/25 MLB Picks Today
Tigers vs Royals
May 31, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Tigers -180 / Royals +150 / Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Tigers are visiting the Kansas City Royals on Saturday, May 31st at the Kauffman Stadium in the second game of this series, with the Tigers having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Royals Prediction. We will examine:
The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance
The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals game
Kansas City Royals Preview
The Kansas City Royals have a 30-28 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the AL Central. The Royals have a 18-12 home record and are 21-36 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-7 home defeat by the Tigers, and are 1-3 in their last 4 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Cardinals and the White Sox next.
The Royals have a .248 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .363 Slugging percentage. Kansas’ pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Maikel Garcia leads the Royals with 66 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .320 batting average. Bobby Witt Jr adds a team-high 31 RBI, while Vinnie Pasquantino leads the team in home runs, with 8.
Michael Wacha (R) will take the mound for the Royals, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.21 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 2.18 ERA across six home starts, but he is coming off a start against the Twins where he gave up 4 runs in 5 innings of work. In his previous start against the Tigers this season, he gave up two runs in 5.1 innings pitched. Michael Wacha is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.20 and 30 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Tigers in his career.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 38-20 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL Central. The Tigers have a 17-12 road record and are 27-26 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-5 road victory against the Royals, and have five consecutive wins. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 games and are playing the White Sox and the Cubs next.
The Tigers have a .253 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .411 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 59 hits, while Spencer Torkelson leads the team in RBI, with 42, and in home runs with 14. Gleyber Torres is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average.
Tarik Skubal (L) will take the mound for the Tigers, and he has a 5-2 record, 2.49 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road with a 3.38 ERA across five road starts, and he is coming off a shutout start against the Guardians in 9 innings pitched. In his previous start against the Royals this season, he gave up two runs in 5 innings pitched. Tarik Skubal is 3-9 with an ERA of 4.76 and 84 strikeouts in 16 appearances versus the Royals in his career.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Royals’ last nine games at Kauffman Stadium.
- The Tigers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last 13 games as road favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Royals have lost five of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against the Royals following a win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven road day games.
- The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Royals’ last nine home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Tigers and Royals.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (34).
- The Royals rank 29th in the league for walks this season (141).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (21).
- The Tigers rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (295).
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
The Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Royals, having won their last four visits in Kansas City. Under is 4-2-1 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Tigers vs Royals Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -180 road favorites. The Tigers are rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and are coming red-hot into this matchup. The Tigers have a better bullpen, and are putting their ace on the mound in Tarik Skubal, who is coming off a perfect game against the Guardians. On top of that, the Royals are terrible against lefties, with just 2.9 per game game, so even though Wacha has been good this season, I don’t think he will have any run support. Take the Detroit Tigers on the runline for an easy road win in this one.