In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 8th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 52-62 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Toronto won game one in this series by a score of 5-2, but they allowed seven runs in the game two loss. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Yankees, lost three out of four against the Orioles, and won all three against the Rangers. Toronto is 2-5 in their last seven games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.63 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 471 runs with a .241 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .317 with 22 home runs and 72 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 68-47 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Baltimore dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 7-3. Prior to this series, the Orioles split four games with the Guardians, won three out of four against the Blue Jays, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Baltimore is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are tied with the Yankees in the AL East.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 585 runs with a .255 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .287 with 29 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Orioles this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 9-8 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 124.1 innings pitched this season. Gausman has allowed three earned runs or more in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 4-8 with a 4.39 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this year. Kremer has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Orioles
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Orioles have lost nine of their last 12 games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a win.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
Why the Orioles will beat the Blue Jays
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have won four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Thursday games at Rogers Centre.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Orioles following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five Thursday night games against American League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against the Orioles.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 20 games against AL opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 20 games against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL opponents.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded a Single in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Dean Kremer has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
- Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in four of the Orioles’ last six road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Cedric Mullins has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Baltimore was able to avenge their loss in game one of this series with a nice win in game two, and they are in a very tight battle for first in the AL East with New York. The Orioles are 34-22 on the road this season, while the Blue Jays are 27-29 at home. Baltimore has been one of the highest scoring teams in the MLB this year, but they have had some pitching issues in recent weeks. I don’t love either starting pitcher in this matchup and while I do lean towards Kremer, I think both teams will generate chances. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for this game to go over the total.