Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 8-19-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 19th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 58-66 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against Chicago, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays swept the Angels in three games, lost two out of three against the Athletics, and won two out of three against the Orioles. Toronto is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 512 runs with a .239 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .317 with 25 home runs and 80 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 60-64 this season and they have won four of their last seven games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss against Kansas City, where they lost all three games by scores of 7-1, 13-1, and 8-1. Prior to that series, the Reds swept the Cardinals in three games, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won three out of four against the Marlins. Cincinnati is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 546 runs with a .230 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .259 with 21 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Reds this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 11-8 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 139.1 innings pitched this year. Gausman has allowed two earned runs in his last two starts (15.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Julian Aguiar, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have won each of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games at Rogers Centre following a win.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Monday games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Reds’ last eight night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Reds and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against NL Central opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Reds.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in each of his five previous appearances against the Reds.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 14 night games.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has recorded at least one Single in five of the Blue Jays’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 14 night games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five Monday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in seven of the Reds’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (172).
• The Toronto Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for steals this season (59).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (168).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 28th in the league for hits this season (934).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 

Toronto comes into this series after losing two out of three games on the road against the Cubs and they are just 29-31 at home this year. Cincinnati had some momentum coming into last weekend, but they were dominated in all three games by the Royals. Cincinnati is 29-30 on the road this year and their pitching plans for this game are unclear, but it could be Julian Aguiar. Toronto is going with Kevin Gausman, who has been very good in his last two starts, but only has average numbers on the year. Even though we don’t know what Cincinnati is going to do on the mound, I think we have some value on them against a Toronto team that really struggles to score runs. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Reds to win.