In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 21st at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 59-67 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Toronto lost the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 10-3 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Cubs, swept the Angels in three games, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Toronto is 7-5 in their last 12 games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 525 runs with a .239 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .318 with 26 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 61-65 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cincinnati won game one in this series by a score of 6-3, but they allowed 10 runs on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Reds lost all three against the Royals, swept the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Cincinnati is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 555 runs with a .230 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .258 with 21 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yariel Rodriguez, who is 1-5 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this year. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 6-6 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 97.0 innings pitched this season. Martinez has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts.
Why the Reds will beat the Blue Jays
- The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine night games at Rogers Centre following a home win.
- The Reds have won five of their last six night games against AL East opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday night road games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games at Rogers Centre following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games at Rogers Centre.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three games at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in each of his five previous appearances against the Reds.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 16 night games.
- George Springer has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 16 night games.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one Single in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ernie Clement has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Steer has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six Wednesday games.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
These two teams have split the first two games in this series, but Toronto was able to get the blowout win on Tuesday night. The Blue Jays are 30-32 at home this year, while the Reds are 30-31 on the road. Both teams have been very inconsistent this season, but Cincinnati is the much better team if you are looking at runs scored and team ERA. Toronto is starting Rodriguez, who has pitched decently well in recent outings, while Nick Martinez has been excellent in his last three starts. I really like what I have seen from Martinez since transitioning back to a starting pitcher, so my Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Reds to win.