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Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 6-14-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (43-23) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (33-35)
June 14, 2024 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -132 / Cleveland Guardians +111; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 14th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series. 

Blue Jays Trying to Keep Momentum 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 33-35 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against Milwaukee, where they lost two out of three games and only scored eight runs in the series. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Athletics, split four games with the Orioles, and won two out of three against the Pirates. Toronto is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the AL East, just a half game ahead of last place. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 265 runs with a .232 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Daulton Varsho is batting .217 with 10 home runs and 31 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 26th in runs scored this year, but they have scored at least four runs in four of their last seven games. 

Guardians Look to Get Back to Winning Ways 

The Cleveland Guardians are 43-23 this year and they have split their last six games. Cleveland is coming off of a series split against Cincinnati, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Marlins, split two games with the Royals, and won two out of three against the Nationals. Cleveland is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are leading the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 332 runs with a .240 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .273 with 18 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland is sixth in runs scored this year and they have scored four runs or more in 13 of their last 18 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 5-4 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 69.2 innings pitched this season. Gausman has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow six earned runs over 6.1 innings against Baltimore two starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 6-3 with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 64.2 innings pitched this year. Allen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow 10 earned runs and 13 hits in the other two outings in that span. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games following a loss.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Guardians’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Blue Jays’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 night games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this matchup 20 games over .500 and they have a solid lead in the AL Central, but Toronto is starting to play a little better. The Blue Jays are 16-15 at home and they are starting Kevin Gausman, who has had an up and down season, but has been very good recently. Cleveland is going with Logan Allen, who has some rough numbers this year and I have a hard time trusting him, even against a lineup like Toronto’s. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Blue Jays to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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