In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 20th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Blue Jays Allow Five Runs Once Again
The Toronto Blue Jays are 44-53 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Toronto dropped the first game in this series by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Giants, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Toronto is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 394 runs with a .236 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .288 with 15 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least five runs in four straight games.
Tigers are Red Hot
The Detroit Tigers are 48-50 this season and they have won three games in a row. Detroit won game one in this series by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Dodgers, won three out of four against the Guardians, and swept the Reds in three games. Detroit is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 418 runs with a .234 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .271 with 17 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in eight of their last eleven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 4-8 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this year. Kikuchi has allowed four earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 4-8 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 101.0 innings pitched this year. Olson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Tigers will beat the Blue Jays
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against the Blue Jays.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games at Rogers Centre.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
- Yusei Kikuchi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last four day games.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games against AL opponents.
- Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last six games against AL East opponents.
- Gio Urshela has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Gio Urshela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (134).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (88).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 1st in the league for triples this season (31).
- The Detroit Tigers rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.299).
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit was able to come away with a hard fought win on Friday night and they are suddenly one of the hottest teams in the MLB. The Tigers have had great pitching for most of the season, but their offense is playing their best right now. Detroit is 24-26 on the road, while Toronto is 21-25 at home. The Blue Jays have dealt with injuries and poor play this season, which has led them to dead last in the AL East. Toronto is going with Kikuchi, who has been roughed up in recent outings. Detroit is starting Olson, who has been very sharp for most of this season. Detroit is playing too well for me to take Toronto in this spot, so my Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for the Tigers to get the win.