In this article, we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 9th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 68-76 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against the Braves, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost both games against the Phillies, lost two out of three against the Twins, and split four games with the Red Sox. Toronto is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays’ offense has scored 611 runs with a .242 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .324 with 28 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 78-65 this year and they have won nine of their last ten games. New York is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mets swept the Red Sox, swept the White Sox, and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. New York is 13-4 in their last 17 games and they are tied for second in the NL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 681 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .240 with 31 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Mets this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 9-13 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 157.0 innings pitched this season. Bassitt has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Paul Blackburn, who is 5-4 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched this year. Blackburn has allowed at least five earned runs in two of his last three starts but hasn’t pitched since 8/23.
Why the Mets will beat the Blue Jays
- The Mets have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last nine games as road favorites has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against National League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit a home run in two of his three previous home appearances against the Mets.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four home games.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Monday appearances.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight games against AL opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays vs NY Mets Prediction
New York had their lengthy winning streak snapped on Sunday, but they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last few weeks. The Mets are tied with the Braves in the NL East and for the last Wild Card spot, so every game is critical right now. New York is 38-31 on the road this season, while the Jays are 34-35 at home.
Toronto is starting Chris Bassitt, who has been roughed up in recent outings. New York is going with Blackburn, who is coming off of the IL, but had two rough outings before getting injured. I don’t love either of these starting pitching situations, but the Mets are hot and have played well on the road. Give me New York here.