In this article, we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 13th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 69-78 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against the Mets, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Braves, lost both games against the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Toronto is 2-7 in their last nine games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays’ offense has scored 621 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .321 with 28 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 74-72 this season and they have split their last four games. St. Louis is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cardinals lost two out of three against the Mariners, won two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Yankees. St. Louis is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are third in the NL Central.
The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Cardinals’ offense has scored 600 runs with a .247 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .246 with 21 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 12-11 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 163.0 innings pitched this year. Gausman has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Erick Fedde, who is 8-9 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 159.1 innings pitched this season. Fedde has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.
Why the Cardinals will beat the Blue Jays
- The Cardinals have won each of their last four night games after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six home games against National League opponents.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cardinals’ last four games against AL East opponents has gone OVER the total run line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last six night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games against NL Central opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Ernie Clement has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cardinals’ last six games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan Gorman has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
- Masyn Winn has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Erick Fedde has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
- Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
Toronto comes into this series sitting in last place in the AL East standings and they have not played well in their last nine games. The Blue Jays are 35-37 at home, while the Cardinals are 35-37 on the road. St. Louis is still sitting above .500 on the season and they are starting Fedde, who has been pretty solid in his last four starts. The Jays are going with Gausman, who has also pitched well recently, but I am going with the Cardinals and the plus money here.