In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 1st at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 14-18 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-1 on Thursday night. Minnesota trailed 1-0 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last seven runs for the lopsided win. The Twins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Jeffers, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Ober allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Morris picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Mariners and all three against the Rays.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 154 runs with a .232 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers has led the Twins with four home runs and 20 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added three home runs and 17 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this year.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-17 this season after they dropped game one by a score of 7-1 last night. Toronto took a 1-0 lead in the fourth inning, but they found zero offense after that point in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Varsho, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Gausman allowed four hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Fluharty allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Toronto won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Guardians.
This season, Toronto has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 122 runs with a .248 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Andres Gimenez has led the Blue Jays with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added four home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Patrick Corbin, who is 0-0 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 19.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- The home team has won five of the Blue Jays’ last six games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games at Target Field against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in five of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last four night games against the Twins following a loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night games.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Twins following a road loss.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Twins have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Blue Jays’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in seven of the Twins’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against the Twins.
- Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 16 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (38).
- The Twins rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (26).
- The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (210).
- The Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for steals this season (12).
Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction
Minnesota started this series with a win on Thursday night, but they did the same thing against Seattle in their last series, before losing games two and three. The Twins are 9-8 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 4-9 on the road. Toronto is starting Corbin, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Woods Richardson has allowed 4, 3, 6, and 5 earned runs in his last four outings. Take Toronto to bounce back with a win here.