In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 15th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 20-24 this season after they won two out of three against the Marlins by scores of 3-0, 5-9, and 9-1. In game three, Minnesota scored six runs in the first three innings and they got the easy win. The Twins recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Martin, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Matthews allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Rojas allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Guardians, but lost two out of three against the Nationals before that.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.49 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 211 runs with a .236 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 15 home runs and 23 RBIs, while Ryan Jeffers has added six home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 2-3 with a 3.43 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 44.2 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-17 this year after they won two out of three against the Padres by scores of 6-4, 1-3, and 7-1. In game three, Milwaukee led 7-0 in the fourth inning, but they lost the shutout in the ninth inning. The Brewers recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rengifo, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Harrison allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Fitzpatrick allowed one unearned run in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee swept the Yankees in three games and split two games with the Cardinals.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 209 runs with a .245 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Brice Turang has led the Brewers with six home runs and 27 RBIs, while Jake Bauers has added six home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The home team has won five of the Brewers’ last six games.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against the Twins following a home win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 home games.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 12 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have lost eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday night games.
- The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Brewers and Twins.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Target Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Friday night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last four night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven night games at Target Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 11 night games at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in eight of the Twins’ last 10 night games.
- Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Byron Buxton ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (15) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Gary Sanchez has hit at least one home run in five of his last 14 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL opponents.
- Brice Turang ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.422) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (332).
- The Twins rank T6th in the league for steals this season (40).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (27).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (32).
Twins vs Brewers Prediction
Minnesota comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last five games. The Twins are 12-11 at home this year, while the Brewers are 9-8 on the road. Milwaukee has also won four of their last five games, but those wins came against the Yankees and Padres. The Brewers haven’t announced a starter for this game, while Minnesota is going with Ryan, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. I think Milwaukee has the much better lineup, so I will take them at a decent price here.