In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 17th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 20-26 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-3 and 1-2. In game two, Minnesota led 1-0 in the third inning, but they failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Twins recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Larnach, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Prielipp allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Orze pitched two innings in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Guardians.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 214 runs with a .236 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 15 home runs and 23 RBIs, while Ryan Jeffers has added six home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-2 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 26-17 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-1 on Saturday. Milwaukee scored once in the fourth inning and once in the sixth, which was enough to get the low scoring win. The Brewers recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Chourio, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Henderson allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Patrick got the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Padres and all three against the Yankees.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.26 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 214 runs with a .243 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Brice Turang has led the Brewers with six home runs and 27 RBIs, while Jake Bauers has added six home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is making his first MLB appearance this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Brewers and Twins.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last seven games at Target Field.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home day games.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven road games against the Twins.
- The Twins have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Twins.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last five games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Bailey Ober’s last four appearances as a starter.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Twins as underdogs against NL opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against AL opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against AL opponents.
Twins vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed a total of four runs during that span. The Brewers are 11-8 on the road this year, while the Twins are 12-13 at home. Minnesota has lost three of their last four games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Twins are starting Ober, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Gasser is being called up from the minors. We have seen Ober pitch very well recently, so I like the Twins here.