In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 7th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 72-43 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 39-21 home record and are coming off a 5-2 home win against the Pirates. They will face the Padres and the Dodgers next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .336 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .277 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 70, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 20 home runs.
Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has a 6-4 record, 3.48 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 57-59 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL Central. They have a 27-32 away record and are coming off a 4-3 road win against the Royals. They will face the Orioles and the Phillies next.
The Minnesota Twins have a .243 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Byron Buxton is the team’s best hitter with a .263 batting average, adding a team-high 25 home runs. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 65.
Zebby Matthews (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Minnesota Twins, and he has a 4-8 record, 5.22 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Minnesota Twins @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 6-4 ERA: 3.48
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Twins: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last four games at American Family Field.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zebby Matthews Record this season: 4-8 ERA: 5.22
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Twins and Brewers.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four night games against the Twins at American Family Field following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last nine games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at American Family Field.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 night games against the Brewers at American Family Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Twins’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last six games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Brewers’ last nine night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Shane Drohan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Royce Lewis has hit a home run in each of his two previous appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against the Brewers.
- Zebby Matthews has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (106).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.62).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (574).
Twins vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Twins but have lost two of their last three meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Twins vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -160 home favorites. I like the Brewers in this one, as they have one of the best home records in baseball and have the better pitcher in this matchup, as Shane Drohan has been far better than Zebby Matthews, who has been terrible on the road with a 7.33 ERA. The Brewers have the 5th-best offense in baseball this season, while the Twins have the 5th-worst bullpen ERA. Take the Brewers on the moneyline in this one.