In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 19th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 26-21 this season after they won two out of three against Milwaukee by scores of 3-0, 7-0, and 2-5. In their game three loss, Minnesota cut the deficit to 4-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Twins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Lee and Lewis, who both had one RBI in the loss. Minnesota started Matthews, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Alcala allowed one earned run in the eighth.
Prior to that series, the Twins swept the Orioles in three games and swept the Giants in three games. Minnesota has won 13 of their last 14 games and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 194 runs with a .242 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton (IL) has led Minnesota with 10 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added seven home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 4-1 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 25-21 this year after they lost all three games against Cincinnati by scores of 4-5, 1-4, and 1-3. In their game three loss, Cleveland had plenty of baserunners, but only managed one run in the seventh inning for the loss. The Guardians recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Santana, who had the lone RBI in the game. Cleveland started Ortiz, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Gaddis allowed two hits and one earned run in the sixth.
Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Brewers, but dropped two out of three against the Phillies before that. Cleveland has lost four games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 182 runs with a .233 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Kyle Manzardo has led Cleveland with 10 home runs and 25 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 2-2 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Twins will beat the Guardians
- The Twins have won each of their last nine games at Target Field.
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight home night games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Ty France has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Twins’ last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of the Twins’ last seven games against AL opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Will Brennan has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five road games.
- Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians’ last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as underdogs.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 12 games.
- Austin Hedges has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Guardians as road underdogs against the Twins.
- Steven Kwan ranks T7th in the league in Hits (56) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (116).
- The Twins rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (159).
- The Guardians rank 25th in the league for hits this season (346).
- The Guardians rank T25th in the league for doubles this season (60).
Twins vs Guardians Prediction
Minnesota finally had their winning streak snapped on Sunday afternoon, but they are still the hottest team in baseball over the last two weeks. The Twins are 15-6 at home this season, while the Guardians are 11-13 on the road. Cleveland has dropped four games in a row and they are starting Allen, who has been wildly inconsistent this year. Minnesota is going with Ober, who has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts. Take Minnesota at home here.