The Minnesota Twins are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Sunday, June 1st at the T-Mobile Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Twins vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:
The Seattle Mariners recent form and player performance
The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners game
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 30-24 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the AL West. The Mariners have a 15-14 home record and 32-23 in over/under They are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the Twins, which ended their previous three-game losing streak. Over is 5-0 in their last 5 games and they are playing the Orioles and the Angels next.
The Mariners have a .237 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 56, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 44, and in home runs with 22. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average.
Luis Castillo (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 4-3 record, 3.32 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. He has been better at home with a 2.65 ERA across six home starts, but is coming off a start where he gave up 3 runs in 6 innings of work. Luis Castillo has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 5.05 and 41 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Twins in his career.
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 31-26 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 13-18 road record and are 20-32 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Mariners, and are playing the Athletics and the Blue Jays next.
The Twins have a .239 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Twins with 53 hits, while Ty France adds a team-high 30 RBI. Byron Buxton leads the team in home runs, with 10, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average.
Chris Paddack (R) will take the mound for the Twins, and he has a 2-5 record, 3.92 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 4.70 ERA across six road starts. Chris Paddack has a 4-1 record with an ERA of 2.45 and 35 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
- The Mariners have won five of their last six day games after going to extra innings.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Sunday road games.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last five Sunday games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last 12 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Twins’ last five road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last nine games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (70).
- The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (137).
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for walks this season (157).
Twins vs Mariners Prediction
The Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 overall meetings against the Mariners, and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Seattle. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Twins vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -135 home favorites. Both teams have identical records and similar home/away splits, and are tied 1-1 wins in this series, with both being up and down lately. Both pitchers have similar stats, and they have a worse expected ERA, so I don’t see value on either side. Both teams are better against righties, with 9.2 average runs combined against right-handed pitching, and the first two games of this series had 9 and 18 total runs. 7.5 runs for this matchup is too low, so take the over 7.5 in this one.