Twins vs. Nationals Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/23/23

The Washington Nationals and the Minnesota Twins meet in MLB action from Target Field on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds


Minnesota is listed as a -250 home favorite while Washington is a +210 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Patrick Corbin will start for the Nationals here and is 1-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Bailey Ober will make his season debut for the Twins here and was 2-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Washington’s 10-4 win over Minnesota on Saturday made it four straight wins for the Nationals in this head-to-head matchup going back to 2019.

Trends

Washington is 33-72 in their last 105 games overall and 37-17 in their last 54 games against the AL Central while the under is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games overall. Minnesota is 10-2 in their last 12 games against a team with a left-handed starter and 1-6 in their last 7 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.

Pick

I’m backing the over here. I’m expecting some rust from Bailey Ober here, and Patrick Corbin has been a pitcher on my auto-fade list for some time now. Either way the matchup goes, I think we’re in line for a bit of a higher-scoring game in this one, and it wouldn’t surprise me if we nailed the over by the early innings. Give me the over here.

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