In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 12th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 59-62 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 9-5 and 2-5. In game two, Minnesota cut the deficit to 5-2 in the third inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Twins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Lee, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Ober allowed eight hits and five earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Rogers threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the Royals.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.59 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 564 runs with a .244 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 16 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 5-8 with a 5.23 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 86.0 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 58-62 this year after they won game two by a score of 5-2 last night. Baltimore scored five runs in the first three innings, which was enough to get the win, but they failed to score in the last six innings. The Orioles recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Henderson, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Young allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Kittredge got the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Rangers, but did win two out of three against the Angels before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 538 runs with a .236 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 26 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 19 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 4-11 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Orioles have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Target Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have won eight of their last nine day games at Target Field following a loss.
- The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Target Field.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last six games as home favorites against the Orioles following a home loss.
- The Orioles have won each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Orioles following a home loss.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 13 of the Twins’ last 14 games.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against the Twins at Target Field.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Orioles’ last nine road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Twins’ last 12 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last six day games against AL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Shane Baz’s last six appearances as a starter.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 13 games against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in two of the Orioles’ last three games.
- Shane Baz has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
- Leody Taveras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Twins.
Twins vs Orioles Prediction
Baltimore was able to tie the series up with a win on Tuesday night and they have scored 20 runs in their last three games. The Orioles are 26-32 on the road this year, while the Twins are 31-28 at home. Minnesota has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 24 runs in their last five. The Twins are starting Matthews, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Baz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. Take the Orioles to win here.