The Philadelphia Phillies and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action at Field of Dreams. Here’s a Twins vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Phillies Pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-58 on the year and play the Marlins and Cardinals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .237 on the season, with a .308 OBP and a .398 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 120 hits and 47 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 225 hits and 123 RBI.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-9 with a 5.47 ERA and 129 strikeouts this season. Nola is 1-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 60-62 on the year and play the Braves and Padres next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .245 on the season, with a .319 OBP and a .406 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Josh Bell leads the Minnesota Twins with 110 hits and 72 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 205 hits and 97 RBI.
Taj Bradley gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 9-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 148 strikeouts this season. This will be Bradley’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Phillies have lost nine of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.
- The Twins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Twins have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won four of the Phillies’ last six games.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Twins’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last nine games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games as underdogs.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Taj Bradley has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
- Royce Lewis has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 night games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.60).
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for runs allowed this season (603).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1196).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (170).
Twins vs Phillies Prediction
I’m not running to the window to back the Twins, but I’m not backing Nola and his 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. The Phillies are 1-7 in Nola’s last 8 games. Bradley is far more trustworthy with his 3.76 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. We’re getting a pick ’em price between two playoff contenders. I’ll take the team with the better starting pitcher. Give me the Twins.